Nifty 6 months chart

Nifty 6 months chart:

VIX historical data - May 2013

VIX historical data - May 2013

Slowing growth is worrying RBI

• RBI says that growth is the most worrisome factor and volatile capital flows have made the country vulnerable to “stops and reversals”.
•  RBI is estimating growth to improve to 5.7 per cent
• Governor also said that the financial sector has no standing of its own; it matters only to the extent that it aids the growth of the real sector,” Subbarao said, adding that it is this wisdom that should guide both the global community and the Reserve Bank.
  
  

India short term debt of $172 billion expires in March-14

• Country will have to pay back $172 billion by March 31, 2014.
• CAD has increased from 2.5 percent in 2008-09 to nearly 5 per cent in 2012-13. Thisnis because of high debt moped up by corporates.
• Short-term debt maturing within a year is nearly 60 per cent of India’s total foreign exchange reserves.
• Repaying debt at a depreciated exchange rate of the rupee will be a huge challenge for the corporates
• With Fed tightening the QE program, we could see a liquidity crunch and huge depreciation of rupee.
• But the govt will take lot of steps to increase the info which will help tackling this deficit.

Top stock to buy on Market crash

Below are the stocks one should invest to get most returns in medium term from stock market

• YesBank
• Kotak Mahindra Bank
• Lupin
• Gelnmark
• ITC

Yes we predicted the fall exactly

• We predicted the wall exactly on 28th May we said great fall is coming and Nifty was close to 6100 then.

• Every one was predicting 6300, but we where cautious and where predicting the great fall coming

• Its 5650 now how much more down will it got 5400-->5200-->4800 are the supports from where it can bounce back

See the article below on 28th May

http://niftyhistoricaldata.blogspot.com/2013/05/is-great-fall-of-nifty-coming.html

Hope you are benefited from our analysis

Buy Tata Coffee with target of 1500 in 1Yr time frame

• One can buy Tata Coffee at current market price for 50* upside

• The company has strong presence in coffee segment

• It has increase the Arabica coffee production by 30% which is high grade coffee and fetches good money.

• It 8'o clock coffee and K cup coffee is hit in US.

• Starbucks commitment to India, and increasing upper middle class status to make tata coffee good returns.

Buy with a target of 1500 in 1 year time frame and 5000 in 3 years time frame.

Rakesh Jhunjhunwala exists Zen technologies

• Rakesh Jhunjhunwala exists Zen technologies
• both Rakesh and his wife rekha has sold 9 lacs shares amounting to 10%
• Rakesh has sold shares at an average price 70 Rs each.
• People following Rakesh are advise to exit the share a CMP.

Fitch upgrades India to BBB- rating

• Fitch upgrades India's outlook to stable, affirms BBB- rating
• This is great news for investors and we should see rupee stabilise and FII inflows to increase.
• Buy Nifty futures and bank nifty with good profits for atleast 200 in nifty and 1000 in bank nifty

Rakesh Jhunjhunwala trading strategy

• Rakesh a Charted Accountant and good with numbers played and made big in India Stock Markets.

• The only guy this famous before him was the Harshad Metha who made big name in Stock market but in unfair way.

• Rakesh does everything legally and he applies hi mind, He does't run after the big bull(blue chips) stocks. He rather try to find the Medium Bulls (Mid cap stocks) and run his show on them

• He started with 5000 Rs and trade in his initial days to build huge capital. The profits he made in Trading was invested back in Mid cap stocks, slowly building his empire

• He always looks at the business model of the company, how their manages are, are they professional, are they confident. The great bull himself has been fooled many times and fallen into trap. Some of his failures are A to Z maintenance,Delta Corp etc.,but he has learned from his mistakes and didn't do it again. So he constantly learn to stay up with the market

• Another key strategy he followed was the time when to invest. If he invest in stock and it appreciates quickly, he book his profits, if he feels that stock should not rise like this.So he always believe that the stocks should rise based on its performance,those are the stocks he invest in.

• Once Warner Buffet said, if there is value in stock and it keeps on falling and the stock is right and doing everything right,just that its falling, go ahead and buy it and keep patience with it, if ti falls further buy it. That what rakesh did, he kept on buying on good stocks which give good results and patiently waited to reap the fruits.Some examples are sesa goa, titan etc.

• Finally stay focus,Rakesh always says, "Market is always right", it can't be wrong. But one has to be patient and focus on what he is doing, this way You can build an empire from  5000 Rs to 5000 Crs.

RBI fines ICICI,HDFC,AXIS

• RBI fines ICICI,HDFC,AXIS with 5 cr.
• This like a penny fine for big banks.
• There will be no impact for the banks because of this.

Rakesh Jhunjhunwala latest portfolio - 2013

Rakesh Jhunjhunwala latest portfolio - 2013

Download Excel:

Click here --> http://www.4shared.com/file/G6_0DmDl/rakesh_jhunjhunwala_latest_por.html

RBI bans gold imports with bank credit-Very bad news for Gold

• RBI banned import of gold by domestic consumers through bank credit and has made overseas purchase of the precious metal a cash and carry business. 

• The move will nearly cripple retail jewellery trade who get credit to buy gold from abroad.

• More than 10% fo jewellery will be affected and will see gold demand drop to 10% yoy.

• India is biggest importer of Gold in the world and the rising Gold import has caused the CAD to increase drastically.

• Govt and RBI are trying frantically to bring down Gold import to reduce CAD and stop the rupee Falling 

Narayana Murty join back INFOSYS -should you buy the stock

• Well Mr murthy is back and he is brining in junior Murthy with him. This is a great move.
• I always felt that Rohan murthy should have lead Infy after senior.
• He should have done this task of training his kid the time he plan to retire.
• But he is back and with a 5yrs time frame to groom his son and change Infy.
• The management mess is the first thing that need to be address by Murthy.
• So the stock will not hit new highs and can even go low but after 1 yr time frame we will start to see things changing for Infy.
• So one can start accumulate in small quantities